BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Middle Tennessee St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 128 Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 135.44
Conference: Conference USA Record: (2-6) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-8)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home L 119.07 14 34 1B 16 ( 7- 5) Austin Peay -16.37 0.69 -3.63
2 09/06/2025 Away L * 130.49 10 42 1A 58 ( 4- 8) Wisconsin -4.96 -34.62 -27.04
3 09/13/2025 Away W * 144.62 14 13 1A 109 ( 3- 9) Nevada 9.18 -16.55 -8.18
4 09/20/2025 Home L * 130.78 28 42 1A 96 ( 5- 7) Marshall -4.67 -4.86 -9.33
5 09/27/2025 Away L * * 143.68 16 24 1A 84 (10- 3) Kennesaw St 8.24 -21.13 -16.24
6 10/08/2025 Home L * * 140.24 20 22 1A 97 ( 7- 5) Missouri St 4.80 -7.57 -6.80
7 10/22/2025 Away L * * 139.36 28 31 1A 113 ( 6- 6) Delaware 3.91 -13.83 -6.91
8 10/29/2025 Home L * * 139.29 21 24 1A 102 ( 8- 5) Jacksonville St 3.85 -5.53 -6.85
9 11/08/2025 Home L * * 116.80 30 56 1A 100 ( 7- 5) Florida Int'l -18.65 -0.16 -7.35
10 11/15/2025 Away L * * 135.37 26 42 1A 89 ( 8- 4) Western Kentucky -0.08 -17.35 -15.92
11 11/22/2025 Home W * * 139.15 31 17 1A 135 ( 2-10) Sam Houston St 3.71 4.04 10.29
12 11/29/2025 Away W * * 146.49 31 24 1A 123 ( 4- 8) New Mexico St 11.05 -6.68 -4.05
Averages 135.44 22.4 30.9
Best game: 146.49 = 7 point win over New Mexico St
Worst game: 116.80 = 26 point loss to Florida Int'l
Team stdev: 9.55